Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca2 - 2Mazatlan
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 44.63% | 24.97% | 30.4% |
| Both teams to score 56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% | 47.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% | 69.37% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.13% | 64.87% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 44.63%
Mazatlan 30.4%
Draw 24.96%
| Toluca | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.63% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.4% |
How you voted: Toluca vs Mazatlan
Toluca
87.5%Draw
0.0%Mazatlan
12.5%8
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
2-1
Toluca
Aristeguieta (14', 29')
Ortiz (40')
Ortiz (40')
Estrada (27')
Lopez (88'), Mora (88')
Lopez (88'), Mora (88')
