MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 22:06:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 8, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 1
Tijuana

Montes (90+1')
Esquivel (24'), Mendez (42'), Garnica (45+2'), Poggi (55'), Gonzalez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (73')
Madrigal (15'), Vega (45+4'), Barbosa (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Pumas
Saturday, July 1 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Necaxa 1-0 Club Tijuana

There is plenty of room for improvement with both sides, but Tijuana do not look quite as cohesive which makes sense given the amount of changes the club have made, and we believe that will give Necaxa the edge in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
44.69% (0.419 0.42) 26.51% (-0.158 -0.16) 28.8% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.327 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.493 0.49)54.25% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.409 0.41)75.65% (-0.405 -0.41)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.422 0.42)24.17% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.59500000000001 0.6)58.49% (-0.591 -0.59)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.067 0.07)70.45% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 44.68%
    Club Tijuana 28.8%
    Draw 26.51%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.68%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.8%

How you voted: Necaxa vs Tijuana

Necaxa
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Club Tijuana
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 1am
Sep 19, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 15
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Lertora (45+5')
Garcia (34')
Feb 19, 2022 3.06am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Ferreyra (57')
Garcia Banuelos (69')
Sep 28, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Necaxa
3-0
Tijuana
Garcia Banuelos (52'), Salas (56'), Medina (79')
Formiliano (34')

Sansores (90+6')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Apr 24, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
1-0
Necaxa
Martinez (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5Club TijuanaTijuana116231717020
6PumasPumas106131410419
7Atletico San Luis115241813517
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca112361119-89
14QueretaroQueretaro12237920-119
15MazatlanMazatlan11155813-58
16Club Leon101541016-68
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
18Juarez102171223-117


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!