Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2025 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Necaxa1 - 3Cruz Azul
Cambindo (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Cruz Azul.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Necaxa
Saturday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 25 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
Result | ||
Necaxa | Draw | Cruz Azul |
24.54% ( 0.18) | 25.73% ( -0.04) | 49.73% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.09% ( 0.29) | 53.91% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( 0.24) | 75.36% ( -0.24) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( 0.32) | 37.13% ( -0.32) |