Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Pumas2 - 0Pachuca
We said: Pumas 1-0 Pachuca
These are two evenly matched sides, but Pumas have shown tremendous resilience this season, which should give them a psychological edge on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pumas | Draw | Pachuca |
38.11% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0) | 35.6% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
