Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Aug 23, 2020 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca1 - 0Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 34.17% | 24.94% | 40.89% |
| Both teams to score 57.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.94% | 68.06% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.1% | 60.9% |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% | 22.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 34.17%
CD Guadalajara 40.89%
Draw 24.94%
| Toluca | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.89% |
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
1-3
Guadalajara
Jan 21, 2019 12.30am
Guadalajara
1-0
Toluca
da Silva (38'), Abella (95'), Salinas (102')
Jan 7, 2018 6pm
Form Guide
