Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 8, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca5 - 2Necaxa
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 3-0 Toluca
Saturday, March 1 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, March 1 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Tigres
Sunday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Sunday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Necaxa |
66.52% ( -0.02) | 18.74% ( 0) | 14.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
