Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 7 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Saturday, May 7 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Next Game: Queretaro vs. Necaxa
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Toluca vs. Atlas
Sunday, July 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
Sunday, July 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mazatlan | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
51.49% ( -1.48) | 25.02% ( 0.55) | 23.49% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( -1.29) | 52.07% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( -1.13) | 73.8% ( 1.13) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( -1.1) | 20.22% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.45% ( -1.78) | 52.54% ( 1.78) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.15) | 37.07% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.15) | 73.85% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Necaxa 51.49%
Toluca 23.49%
Draw 25.02%
| Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.49% |
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Toluca
1-1
Necaxa
Zendejas (53')
Gonzalez (6'), Salas (24'), Medina (45')
Gonzalez (6'), Salas (24'), Medina (45')
Jan 19, 2020 6pm
Toluca
2-3
Necaxa
Fernandez (38'), Hernandez (45')
