Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Clermont |
40.65% ( 0.01) | 27.36% ( 0) | 31.98% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.66% ( -0.02) | 56.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.64% ( -0.01) | 77.36% ( 0.01) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% | 27.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.39% ( -0) | 62.61% ( 0) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( -0.02) | 32.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% ( -0.02) | 69.08% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |