Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

Apr 22, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 1
Lille

Niang (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

David (36' pen.)
Fonte (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nantes
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Lille missing the unmistakeable midfield presence of Andre while Auxerre work around fresh injury concerns in the final third, sparks may not fly between these two sides, although the red-hot David is always capable of coming up with the goods for Lille. As impressive as AJA's win against Nantes was, Les Canaris were the masters of their own downfall on that day, and Lille - despite their patchy away form - should do enough to take home all three points, assuming that they show no similar propensity for errors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Lille
23.19% ( 0.32)	23.75% ( 0.2)	53.06% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-0.51)

47.18% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59% (

-0.48)

69.41% (

0.48)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

34.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

71.36% (

-0)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

-0.38)

17.73% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6% (

-0.66)

48.4% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 23.19%

Lille 53.06%

Draw 23.75%

Auxerre	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.19%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.06%