Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 1, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
1 - 0
Troyes

Niang (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Brest
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Auxerre 1-0 Troyes

Having lost just one of their last seven league matches, Auxerre should have what it takes to edge out fellow strugglers Troyes, who have lost each of their previous five away encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Troyes
54.67%	24.54%	20.78%

Both teams to score 48.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04%

52.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44%

74.55%

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7%

19.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.95%

51.04%

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77%

40.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.14%

76.86%

Score Analysis

Auxerre 54.66%

Troyes 20.78%

Draw 24.55%

Auxerre	Draw	Troyes
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.66%	1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.78%