Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier2 - 1Clermont
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Clermont
Given that Montpellier have won four of their five league games since Der Zakarian's arrival, the hosts look set to cruise to a comfortable victory over Clermont, who have lost four of their previous six matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Clermont |
40.09% ( -1.14) | 25.99% ( -0.15) | 33.91% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
