Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
40.21% ( 0) | 27.35% | 32.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.8% ( -0) | 56.2% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% ( -0) | 77.25% ( 0) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( 0) | 27.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( 0) | 62.85% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% ( -0) | 32.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% ( -0) | 68.65% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |