Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de Gerland
We said: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre
Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign.
Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67% . A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%) , while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result Lyon Draw Auxerre 69.67% ( 0.15) 17.37% ( -0.06) 12.96% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.03)
64.7% ( 0.08) 35.3% ( -0.09)
42.67% ( 0.1) 57.32% ( -0.1)
90.89% ( 0.06) 9.11% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 69.06% ( 0.14) 30.93% ( -0.14)
60.8% ( -0.07) 39.2% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.09% ( -0.07) 75.91% ( 0.07)
Lyon 69.66%
Auxerre 12.96%
Draw 17.37%
Lyon Draw Auxerre 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.66% 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.37% 1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.96%
How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre
45
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 22:33:46
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