Angers have lost three straight games against Monaco and have not beaten them since January 2016, and as good as they have been so far in this campaign, there are still moments where they allow too much space in their third of the field like they did against Lens over the weekend.
Monaco should have plenty of possession in this one, and they can afford to put a stronger side together for these league contests for a little while, with a spot in the next phase of the Europa League already guaranteed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Angers had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
