Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.