Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.