Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
