Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rennes in this match.
