Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.31% ( -0.05) | 25.66% ( -0.04) | 36.03% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.31% ( 0.17) | 48.69% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.2% ( 0.15) | 70.8% ( -0.16) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% ( 0.07) | 59.57% ( -0.08) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.13) | 26.21% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% ( 0.17) | 61.31% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |