Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Doukoure (71' og.), Nordin (87')
Ferri (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diarra (47' pen.), Emegha (83')
Sissoko (34'), Diarra (66'), Emegha (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 3-1 Strasbourg

Montpellier collapsed during the defeat at Marseille last time out, but La Paillade should be confident of beating a Strasbourg side who are in turmoil on and off the field. Les Alsaciens have leaked plenty of goals during their recent Ligue 1 matches, and we are expecting a similar story for Vieira's men on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
40.07% ( -1.66)	25.76% ( 0.49)	34.16% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.62% (

-1.91)

49.38% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57% (

-1.74)

71.42% (

1.73)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-1.67)

24.32% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

-2.42)

58.7% (

2.41)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.21)

27.65% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.27)

63.2% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 40.07%

Strasbourg 34.16%

Draw 25.76%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.16%