Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Le Havre |
38.35% ( 0.13) | 26.83% ( -0.41) | 34.82% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.25% ( 1.65) | 53.75% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.77% ( 1.37) | 75.23% ( -1.37) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( 0.86) | 27.27% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( 1.1) | 62.7% ( -1.1) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( 0.99) | 29.37% ( -0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( 1.2) | 65.35% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |