MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:39:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Le Havre

Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre

Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Hajjam (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Reims
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Le Havre

Le Havre competed well against Reims last time out and will be desperate to pick up a result and halt their drop towards the bottom three, but we see the second-placed hosts being too strong and taking all three points to extend their fine run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
BrestDrawLe Havre
60.74% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.56% (0.141 0.14) 15.7% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-0.652 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.717 -0.72)56.01% (0.72000000000001 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.587 -0.59)77.1% (0.589 0.59)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.262 -0.26)18.17% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.453 -0.45)49.15% (0.456 0.46)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.87% (-0.625 -0.63)48.14% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.67% (-0.46 -0.46)83.33% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Brest 60.73%
    Le Havre 15.7%
    Draw 23.55%
BrestDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 14.91% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 12.71% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.7%

How you voted: Brest vs Le Havre

Brest
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
Le Havre
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Le Havre
1-2
Brest
Kuzyaev (52')
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
Chardonnet (66'), Autret (67'), Castelletto (69')
Henry (82')
Aug 24, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 5
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Mayi (86')
Pi (32'), Belaud (88')

Thiare (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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