Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
61.84% | 22.6% | 15.56% |
Both teams to score 44.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% | 52.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% | 74.35% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% | 16.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% | 46.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% | 81.98% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 13.8% 2-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.2% 5-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 61.83% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.28% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.3% Total : 15.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |