Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Brest |
48.63% | 25.07% | 26.3% |
Both teams to score 52.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.01% | 49.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% | 71.97% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% | 20.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% | 53.11% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.49% | 33.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% | 70.14% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |