We said: Lille 0-0 Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne have not lost any of their last five games against Lille, and recent improvements suggest they can compete with clubs chasing Europe. Lille have been notorious for being draw specialists in Ligue 1 this season, and in a fixture that has seen just five goals scored in its last five iterations, another drab affair could await. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 76.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
76.75% ( -0.12) | 14.49% ( 0.12) | 8.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.68) | 33.71% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( -0.77) | 55.54% ( 0.78) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( -0.17) | 7.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.46) | 26.17% ( 0.46) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.5) | 45.67% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.54% ( -0.4) | 81.46% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 76.75%
Saint-Etienne 8.76%
Draw 14.49%
| Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 76.75% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.49% | 1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.76% |
How you voted: Lille vs St Etienne
Lille
78.0%Draw
18.0%Saint-Etienne
4.0%50
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
May 16, 2021 8pm
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
St Etienne
1-1
Lille
