Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 14, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Lille win 4-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Marseille
Saturday, January 11 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, January 11 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Lille
Friday, January 10 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Friday, January 10 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Marseille 2-1 Lille
The competition's format of penalties following normal time means Marseille will want to finish the tie in 90 minutes to avoid another shoot-out after consecutive disappointments in 2023 and last year. Backed by the home support, De Zerbi's free-scoring side should eke out a close victory over Lille to end the away side's 19-match unbeaten sequence and Les Olympiens' four-game streak without beating Tuesday's opponents. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Lille had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lille |
42.2% ( -0.43) | 25.78% ( 0.21) | 32.01% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50% ( -0.81) | 49.99% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.02% ( -0.72) | 71.97% ( 0.72) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -0.56) | 23.52% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.82) | 57.55% ( 0.81) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.26) | 29.32% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.32) | 65.29% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 42.2%
Lille 32.02%
Draw 25.77%
| Marseille | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.02% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Lille
Marseille
81.8%Draw
10.9%Lille
7.3%55
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
