We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Saint-Etienne
PSG enter this encounter as clear favourites, buoyed by their record against the Greens and their formidable form on home turf. The visitors, despite experiencing a manager bounce following their recent success against Reims, are expected to struggle given their dismal away form, compounded by a porous defence that has shipped 27 goals - the highest in the division - making a home win the likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
84.63% ( 0.1) | 10.07% ( -0.08) | 5.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.39% ( 0.41) | 24.61% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.59% ( 0.53) | 44.41% ( -0.54) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( 0.08) | 4.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.27) | 17.03% ( -0.27) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( 0.3) | 47.74% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.96% ( 0.22) | 83.04% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 3-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.07% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 5.3% |
