MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 23:15:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nantes

Lille
1 - 1
Nantes

Gudmundsson (41')
Arnar Haraldsson (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Abline (70' pen.)
Cozza (73'), Castelletto (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rouen 0-1 Lille
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Drancy JA 0-4 Nantes
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

 No current coaches have managed more Ligue 1 games than Bruno Genesio (246) or the vastly experienced Antoine Kombouare (521), yet there has never been a draw between them in the French top flight. That trend will continue this weekend, when a confident Lille side should make light work of Nantes, who offer little threat and continue to concede goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
54.71% (-1.143 -1.14) 22.92% (0.136 0.14) 22.37% (1.004 1)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.947 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.588 0.59)44.45% (-0.59 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.566 0.57)66.82% (-0.568 -0.57)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.188 -0.19)16.15% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (-0.341 -0.34)45.58% (0.338 0.34)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (1.275 1.27)33.87% (-1.277 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (1.358 1.36)70.54% (-1.359 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.71%
    Nantes 22.37%
    Draw 22.91%
LilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.217 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
86.4%
Draw
10.2%
Nantes
3.4%
59
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Abline (54')
Mohamed (33'), Lafont (44'), Pallois (60'), Sissoko (74')
David (8', 11')
Zhegrova (44'), Bentaleb (81')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!