MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 03:27:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Troyes

Lyon
4 - 1
Troyes

Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 3-1 Troyes

Lyon are certainly prone to the odd defensive error, and Troyes should fancy their chances of experiencing some joy in front of goal with Lopes stuck on the naughty step. However, a consolation strike will likely be the only thing the travelling support have to cheer, as Bosz's abundance of goal-getters should propel Les Gones to a straightforward second win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawTroyes
72.55% (-0.255 -0.25) 16.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 10.56% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (0.073999999999998 0.07)39.68% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)62.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (0.361 0.36)46.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.279 0.28)81.84% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 72.55%
    Troyes 10.56%
    Draw 16.88%
LyonDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.038999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.32% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Lyon vs Troyes

Lyon
88.2%
Draw
7.6%
Troyes
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
Jan 9, 2016 4pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (18'), Ghezzal (72'), Ferri (81'), Beauvue (93')
Umtiti (61')
Camus (67')
Nivet (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!