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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Troyes

Lyon
4 - 1
Troyes

Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 3-1 Troyes

Lyon are certainly prone to the odd defensive error, and Troyes should fancy their chances of experiencing some joy in front of goal with Lopes stuck on the naughty step. However, a consolation strike will likely be the only thing the travelling support have to cheer, as Bosz's abundance of goal-getters should propel Les Gones to a straightforward second win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawTroyes
72.55% (-0.255 -0.25) 16.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 10.56% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (0.073999999999998 0.07)39.68% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)62.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (0.361 0.36)46.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.279 0.28)81.84% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 72.55%
    Troyes 10.56%
    Draw 16.88%
LyonDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.038999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.32% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Lyon vs Troyes

Lyon
88.2%
Draw
7.6%
Troyes
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
Jan 9, 2016 4pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (18'), Ghezzal (72'), Ferri (81'), Beauvue (93')
Umtiti (61')
Camus (67')
Nivet (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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