Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.