Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-0 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.