Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
20.85% | 23.87% | 55.29% |
Both teams to score 50.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.78% | 50.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.82% | 72.18% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% | 38.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% | 75.35% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.97% | 18.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.08% | 48.92% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.15% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 0-2 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |