Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
3 - 2
Lens

Depay (39', 52' pen.), Fortes (46' og.)
Aouar (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sotoca (56'), Doucoure (89')
Leca (51'), Bade (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lens
55.23%	23.09%	21.68%

Both teams to score 53.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98%

46.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67%

68.32%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6%

35.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84%

72.16%

Score Analysis

Lyon 55.22%

Lens 21.68%

Draw 23.09%

Lyon	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.68%