Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
30.3% | 25.22% | 44.48% |
Both teams to score 55.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% | 48.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.58% | 70.41% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.38% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% | 21.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% | 54.84% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |