Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 0Troyes
We said: Marseille 2-1 Troyes
Marseille will be wounded from a heavy defeat in midweek, but they should still have enough quality to get over the line on Sunday. Back-to-back defeats will leave the visitors lacking confidence, and Sampaoli should certainly see this as a good opportunity to add another notch to their wins column after a disappointing draw in their most recent league outing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Troyes |
| 58.38% | 22.55% | 19.07% |
| Both teams to score 51.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
