Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Metz |
74.35% | 16.22% | 9.42% |
Both teams to score 46.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% | 40.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% | 62.5% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.75% | 9.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.28% | 48.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.25% | 83.75% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 12.77% 1-0 @ 10.72% 3-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 6.03% 4-1 @ 4.34% 5-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.72% 0-0 @ 4.51% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 16.22% | 0-1 @ 3.24% 1-2 @ 2.77% 0-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |