Ligue 2
May 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Auxerre win 5-4 on penalties
We said: Auxerre 2-1 Sochaux
Spirits are high among both camps heading into Friday's contest, but Auxerre will be regarded as the favourites, when considering their league position, form and the fact that they have home advantage.
Sochaux will fancy their chances of breaching Auxerre's backline, having scored eight goals in their last six meetings against them, but we can see the hosts securing a slender victory to put them through to the relegation/promotion playoff final.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 46.1% . A win for Sochaux had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.54%) . The likeliest Sochaux win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood .
Result Auxerre Draw Sochaux 46.1% 26.28% 27.61%
Both teams to score 50.13%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Auxerre 46.09%
Sochaux 27.61%
Draw 26.28%
Auxerre Draw Sochaux 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.09% 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.28% 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.61%
How you voted: Auxerre vs Sochaux
5
rhs 2.0
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