MX23RW : Monday, December 23 20:27:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
44.2% (-0.109 -0.11) 28.54% (0.141 0.14) 27.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.471 -0.47)62.13% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.347 -0.35)81.83% (0.348 0.35)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.283 -0.28)28.03% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.362 -0.36)63.68% (0.364 0.36)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)39.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.273 -0.27)76.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 44.2%
    Ajaccio 27.25%
    Draw 28.54%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
58.8%
Draw
29.4%
Ajaccio
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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