Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Concarneau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Bastia
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Concarneau 0-0 Quevilly
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bastia | Draw | Concarneau |
41.45% ( 0.15) | 28.78% ( 0.02) | 29.76% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.11) | 61.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.28% ( -0.08) | 81.71% ( 0.08) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.03) | 29.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.54% ( 0.04) | 65.45% ( -0.04) |
| Concarneau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.19) | 37.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.19) | 73.98% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Bastia 41.45%
Concarneau 29.76%
Draw 28.77%
| Bastia | Draw | Concarneau |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 29.76% |
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 6pm
