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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
2 - 0
Concarneau

Santelli (52'), Charbonnier (90+4')
Drame (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Celestine (46')
Moussiti-Oko (72')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Concarneau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guingamp 0-1 Bastia
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Concarneau 0-0 Quevilly
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawConcarneau
41.45% (0.146 0.15) 28.78% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 29.76% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.03% (-0.112 -0.11)61.97% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.28% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)81.71% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)29.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.8% (-0.191 -0.19)37.2% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.187 -0.19)73.98% (0.18499999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 41.45%
    Concarneau 29.76%
    Draw 28.77%
BastiaDrawConcarneau
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.45%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 29.76%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Concarneau
0-0
Bastia
Ducrocq (32'), Lienard (32'), Bianchini (85')
rhs 2.0
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