Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.