Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
