MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 18:14:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 1
Valenciennes

Brahimi (9'), Mendy (77')
Mendy (45+2'), Vandermersch (63'), Hafid (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bonnet (30')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawValenciennes
57.02% (0.931 0.93) 25.77% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.2% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 39.69% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)61.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)81.23% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (0.373 0.37)21.68% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.17% (0.567 0.57)54.82% (-0.569 -0.57)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.68% (-0.892 -0.89)49.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.82% (-0.638 -0.64)84.17% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Caen 57.02%
    Valenciennes 17.2%
    Draw 25.76%
CaenDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 16.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 12.49% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.02%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.2%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Cuffaut (39' pen.)
Mendy (23')
Ntim (7')
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Da Costa (13')
Abdi (59'), Cisse (88')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Valenciennes
Chahiri (90+2')
Goncalves (73')
Abdi (16' og.), Robail (29')
Debuchy (31'), Robail (81')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Caen
1-1
Valenciennes
Bammou (52' pen.)
Deminguet (31'), Mendy (86')
Guel (5')
Pellenard (34'), Spano (51'), Ntim (65')
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Valenciennes
1-0
Caen
Ntim (10')
D'Almeida (32'), Masson (43'), Spano Rahou (44'), Prior (88')

Deminguet (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient19114431171437
2Metz1997327141334
3Paris FCParis FC1910452718934
4DunkerqueDunkerque1910362824433
5Annecy199642723433
6GuingampGuingamp19102734241032
7Laval1986529191030
8Grenoble198382322127
9PauPau197662221127
10AmiensAmiens198292125-426
11Bastia1951042218425
12Clermont196671720-324
13Rodez AFRodez AF196583132-123
14Red Star196492032-1222
15Troyes1963101922-321
16Ajaccio1953111324-1118
17Caen1943121928-915
18Martigues1933131037-2712


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