Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen2 - 1Valenciennes
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
57.02% ( 0.93) | 25.77% ( -0.25) | 17.2% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 39.69% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
