Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 21.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Martigues win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.42) 
