Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes1 - 2Brest
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Troyes 3-0 Caen
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Brest 2-5 PSG
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Troyes 0-1 Brest
Expect to see primarily defensive tactics for Troyes on Tuesday, though their upcoming opponents have the pieces to counter that and have won their share of close games domestically this year. Several of Brest's top attacking playmakers are back from the injury front and should be able to eventually unlock a stubborn ESTAC backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
34.04% ( -0.54) | 27.29% ( -0.09) | 38.67% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( 0.29) | 55.68% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( 0.24) | 76.83% ( -0.24) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.2) | 30.83% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.24) | 67.11% ( 0.23) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( 0.5) | 28% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.64) | 63.64% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Troyes 34.03%
Brest 38.66%
Draw 27.29%
| Troyes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.66% |
How you voted: Troyes vs Brest
Troyes
16.9%Draw
9.2%Brest
73.8%65
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 20
Brest
1-1
Troyes
