Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 45.5%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.18%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.