MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:01:05| >> :60:2266:2266:
[monks data]
Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Newcastle logo

Liverpool
3 - 1
Newcastle

Jota (21'), Salah (25'), Alexander-Arnold (87')
Henderson (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Shelvey (7')
Joelinton (45+2'), Fraser (55'), Hayden (86')

Preview: Liverpool vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Liverpool will be out to make it eight wins in a row across all competitions when they welcome Newcastle United to Anfield on Thursday night.

The Reds prevailed 1-0 against Aston Villa last time out, while Eddie Howe's men went down 4-0 to Leicester City.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Thwarted time and time again by the inspired Emiliano Martinez, it seemed destined to be one of those days for Liverpool against Aston Villa, but the irrepressible Mohamed Salah was handed the chance to win the day from 12 yards after Tyrone Mings's foul.

Despite some mind games from the ex-Arsenal stopper, Salah confidently dispatched a penalty that no goalkeeper could have saved to hand Liverpool a fifth top-flight win on the bounce, and a seventh on the trot in all competitions.

With Chelsea and Manchester City both also prevailing by one-goal margins at the weekend, there is little change in the title conversation, with the Reds still second in the rankings - one point behind leaders City and one clear of Chelsea after 16 games.

Jurgen Klopp's men may have seen their astonishing two-goals-per-game streak ended in recent weeks, but only Chelsea (21) can boast more Premier League goals at home than the Reds (19) this season, and Liverpool have won each of their last five at Anfield.

This week's hosts have also kept five clean sheets in that stretch and extended their Anfield unbeaten run to 20 matches with the 1-0 win at Villa, so Newcastle will surely not be harbouring hopes of a memorable win on the Merseyside turf.

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe pictured in November 2021© Reuters

Even with numerous players out due to injury and a COVID-19 cluster, Leicester were still too good for Eddie Howe's Newcastle at the King Power, as the Foxes put four unanswered goals past the Magpies in gameweek 16.

With Jamie Vardy warming the bench, Patson Daka and James Maddison both helped themselves to a goal and an assist apiece, while Youri Tielemans bagged a brace to condemn Newcastle to a fifth defeat from eight on the road in the league.

Having been brought crashing back down to earth after their win against Burnley, Newcastle remain level on points with basement side Norwich in the relegation zone, and they are one point adrift of 18th-placed Burnley having played a game more.

With only three points taken from a possible 24 on the road this term, Newcastle's away form is the worst in the 2021-22 Premier League, and they have only managed to find the back of the net five times on rival turf all season.

Newcastle did claim a respectable 1-1 draw at Anfield last term thanks to the heroics of Joe Willock, but not since the 1993-94 season have the Magpies won away to Liverpool in the Premier League.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Roberto Firmino walks off injured for Liverpool in November 2021© Reuters

Liverpool trio Nat Phillips, Curtis Jones and Harvey Elliott remain out of action, but there is hope that Divock Origi and Roberto Firmino - who has now returned to training - may both be involved in some capacity.

Even if Firmino is not deemed ready to return from his hamstring problem just yet, Diogo Jota will expect to earn a recall up top as Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain drops down to the bench.

Klopp will certainly consider changes before a meeting with Tottenham Hotspur at the weekend, with Naby Keita, Kostas Tsimikas and Ibrahima Konate all potentially starting on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Newcastle did not pick up any fresh injury concerns in the defeat to Leicester, meaning that Paul Dummett is Howe's only absentee with his calf problem.

Howe should therefore make a few alterations with a near fully-fit squad ahead of meetings with both Manchester clubs, potentially starting with Miguel Almiron being sacrificed in order to welcome Ciaran Clark back from suspension to a five-man defence.

Isaac Hayden is also ready to beef up the midfield if necessary, but Willock has fond memories of playing at Anfield and will not want to lose his place here.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Tsimikas; Keita, Fabinho, Henderson; Salah, Jota, Mane

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Manquillo, Schar, Clark, Lascelles, Lewis; Saint-Maximin, Hayden, Shelvey, Joelinton; Wilson


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 3-0 Newcastle United

Even with a heavy defensive presence on the field, Newcastle should be outfought and outclassed by Klopp's rampant Liverpool on the Anfield turf.

The hosts will likely call upon some of their fringe players amid the hectic winter schedule but should have no trouble piling more misery on the Magpies in midweek.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:472847:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11192:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 82.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.16%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Newcastle

Liverpool
87.9%
Draw
6.7%
Newcastle United
5.5%
330
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Manchester City's Raheem Sterling scores from the penalty spot on December 11, 2021
Read Next:
Premier League Team of the Week - De Gea, Sterling, Maddison
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!