Following a dramatic encounter in the Netherlands last week, Marseille and Feyenoord will square off in the second leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final tie on Thursday.
Feyenoord took a slender 3-2 lead but face the tough test of a trip to France with everything still to play for.
Match preview
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Dropping into Europe's tertiary competition as one of the favourites for the trophy after their exit from the Europa League group stage, Marseille cruised through the early knockout rounds, seeing off Qarabag and Basel to reach the quarter-finals.
Greek outfit PAOK then stood in their way, and Jorge Sampaoli's side continued to assert their dominance, prevailing with a 3-1 aggregate victory as they won 2-1 on home turf and sealed their progression with a narrow away triumph thanks to Dimitri Payet's second goal of the tie.
That booked them a challenging semi-final tie with Feyenoord, and the away leg did not get off to a good start, as they trailed 2-0 after 20 minutes, before Bamba Dieng and Gerson levelled the game inside the first half.
While they did eventually fall to a defeat in Rotterdam, Les Olympiens should not be too disheartened heading into the home leg, as they only trail by a single goal while holding home advantage.
However, the recent 3-0 defeat to Lyon may provide more cause for concern, and Ligue 1's second-placed side will hope to put that result behind them and quickly bounce back on Thursday as they aim to overturn the deficit and move into the Conference League final.
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Feyenoord, meanwhile, will aim to see out the aggregate win on their travels with the final in their sights.
Thanks to their eye-catching form this season on all fronts, the Dutch outfit headed into the home leg with plenty of momentum, having cruised through the group stage and seen off Partizan and Slavia Prague on their route to the final four.
They made an eye-catching start to last week's encounter, racing into a 2-0 lead thanks to goals from Cyriel Dessers and Luis Sinisterra, before Dessers hit his second of the game immediately after half time to ensure they travel to France with a narrow lead following Les Olympiens' recovery.
Arne Slot's side then continued building momentum at the weekend, putting up a fifth straight win in all competitions and taking another huge step towards a third-placed finish in the Eredivisie by beating Fortuna Sittard 3-1 thanks to a Lutsharel Geertruida brace and a Reiss Nelson goal.
Now with a top-three finish within touching distance, De Stadionclub will aim to add to what has been a stellar campaign by booking their place in the inaugural Europa Conference League final.
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Team News
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Marseille are set to remain without young centre-back Leonardo Balerdi due to an injury, while Konrad De La Fuente is ruled out for the rest of the season.
Midfielder Matteo Guendouzi will be pushing for a return to the starting XI after being on the bench against Lyon, although Gerson, Pape Gueye and Boubacar Kamara all have strong claims for spots in the engine room.
Talismanic winger Dimitri Payet will continue to be a key man going forward, having contributed three goals and three assists in six Europa Conference League appearances and 12 goals and 10 assists in 31 Ligue 1 games this term, while Cedric Bakambu and Arkadiusz Milik will likely battle to lead the front line.
Feyenoord will remain without midfielder Jens Toornstra and goalkeeper Justin Bijlow, as the pair continue spells in the treatment room.
Their line will again be led by Genk loanee Cyriel Dessers, who moved clear as the competition's top scorer by netting his ninth and 10th goals of the Conference League campaign in the first leg.
While there is competition for attacking places, the Nigerian will likely be flanked by Arsenal loanee Reiss Nelson and Luis Sinisterra, who has enjoyed a productive campaign, netting 23 goals and contributing 12 assists in 45 appearances across all competitions.
Marseille possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Lirola, Saliba, Caleta-Car, Kolasinac; Gerson, Guendouzi, Kamara; Payet, Bakambu, Under
Feyenoord possible starting lineup:
Marciano; Geertruida, Trauner, Senesi, Malacia; Aursnes, Kokcu; Nelson, Til, Sinisterra; Dessers
We say: Marseille 3-1 Feyenoord (Marseille win 5-4 on aggregate)
The first leg showed that the two sides each possess the attacking quality to trouble the other, and we anticipate another exciting and high-scoring affair on Thursday.
The game could certainly go either way in France, but we back Sampaoli's side to overturn the deficit and triumph with home advantage.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
