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Feyenoord
Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Marseille

Feyenoord
3 - 2
Marseille

Dessers (18', 46'), Sinisterra (20')
Malacia (37'), Geertruida (79'), Hendrix (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dieng (28'), Gerson (40')
Harit (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Feyenoord and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Feyenoord 2-2 Marseille

The two sides boast similar levels of quality, and, given the nature of a first-leg affair, we predict a tight contest with neither risking a heavy defeat but both posing the ability to punish their opponents. We ultimately see a draw as the most likely outcome ahead of the second leg in France. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
FeyenoordDrawMarseille
44.21%23.69%32.1%
Both teams to score 61.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45%40.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07%62.92%
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36%18.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05%49.95%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35%24.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83%59.16%
Score Analysis
    Feyenoord 44.21%
    Marseille 32.1%
    Draw 23.68%
FeyenoordDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-1 @ 6.43%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.1%

How you voted: Feyenoord vs Marseille

Feyenoord
39.2%
Draw
22.3%
Marseille
38.5%
148
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