MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:00:05| >> :600:373964:373964:
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Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Den
Reading logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Reading

Wallace (45+1')
Cooper (10'), Williams (52'), Hutchinson (70'), Leonard (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (53')
Semedo (30'), Morrison (55'), Ejaria (60'), Holmes (75')

Preview: Millwall vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall head into their Championship fixture with Reading on Wednesday night hoping to secure their first league win in five and move closer to the playoff places.

Reading, meanwhile, have suffered four successive defeats and have slipped to sixth in the league table.


Match preview

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Millwall have found it difficult in recent weeks to win matches at The Den and they ground out their fourth home draw against Cardiff City on Saturday.

Gary Rowett's side have now drawn three successive league matches and six in total this campaign - only Middlesbrough have drawn as many games as the Lions at this stage of the season.

Millwall have only lost twice in the league and if they had converted their draws into wins, they would be sitting in a much stronger position in the table.

The hosts have found a way of defeating Reading in recent seasons, winning four of their last six matches, as many as they had in their previous 23 against the Royals.

Rowett has also won five times against Reading in his managerial career, only beating Bolton Wanderers and Brentford on more occasions.

Securing three points on Wednesday night could see Millwall move as high as seventh in the table, one place and one point behind the Royals.

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic has come to realise the difficulty of the Championship, as his side have suffered four consecutive league defeats – losing 4-2 away at Bournemouth last weekend – after going their first eight matches unbeaten.

In just under a month, the Royals have gone from being six points clear at the top of the table to two points behind current table toppers Norwich City and now sit in sixth place.

Reading had conceded only one league goal from their opening seven league matches, which was the best record of all 92 football league clubs, but since then the Royals have conceded 15 goals, which is more than any other side in the top four divisions.

Reading head into Wednesday night's fixture with a poor record against the Lions, as they have lost each of their last three away league games at The Den.

Reading are also looking to win back-to-back away league games in London for the first time since April 2014, having beaten Charlton Athletic back in July.

A win against Millwall could see Reading move back to the top of the Championship if all of the current top five fail to secure three points in midweek.

Millwall Championship form: DWLDDD

Reading Championship form: WWLLLL


Team News

Reading's Yakou Meite celebrates scoring against Rotherham United in the Championship on October 24, 2020© Reuters

Millwall's Mahlon Romeo is unavailable with a foot problem so Ryan Leonard is likely to fill in at right wing-back once again.

Connor Mahoney and Mason Bennett are both set for scans on thigh injuries this week and so remain doubtful for Wednesday night.

Troy Parrott is pushing to make his first league start of the season and could partner Matthew Smith up top.

Reading boss Veljko Paunovic is likely to bring midfielder Michael Olise and winger Yakou Meite back into the starting lineup after the pair were named on the bench at the weekend.

Right-back Tomas Esteves is set to be given the nod once again as Andy Yiadom suffered an injury against Bournemouth.

Forward George Puscas is unlikely to start the match as he is nursing a knock that he picked up on international duty with Romania.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Cooper, Wallace; Leonard, Woods, Thompson, Malone; Wallace; Smith, Parrott

Reading possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Esteves, Morrison, Moore, Richards; Rinomhota, Laurent; Meite, Olise, Ejaria; Joao


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-2 Reading

Both sides will be hoping for a victory on Wednesday in what should be a tight contest. Reading have scored eight goals in their last three away games but only managed to win one of those matches. Their firepower however should be strong enough to break down Millwall's backline and help secure their first win in five.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Reading?

Millwall
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Reading
28.6%
168
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Millwall caretaker manager Adam Barrett pictured on October 5, 2019
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