Major League Soccer

Apr 2, 2022 at 9pm UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 4
Montreal

Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-3 CF Montreal

Defensively speaking, there is still room for improvement from both teams, but we expect a little more determination from Montreal against a side in Cincy who still tend to concede their share of space in transition, plus they have not fared well historically in their new venue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	CF Montreal
36.48%	26.34%	37.18%

Both teams to score 53.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38%

51.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59%

73.41%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66%

27.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21%

62.79%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74%

62.26%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 36.48%

CF Montreal 37.18%

Draw 26.33%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.18%